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DINARESGURUS.BLOGSPOT.COM_________________

Saturday, June 9, 2018

KTFA UPDATE, 9 JUNE

DELTA:  BUY & SELL IQD IN IRAQI MARKET..

03-Jun.. 1199- 1197
04-Jun.. 1199- 1197
05-Jun.. 1199 -1197
06-Jun.. 1196- 1193
07-Jun.. 1198- 1194

Greenclan:  On schedule to hit 1200 by 13th before EId
....
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DELTA:  CBI HOSTING WEB SITE IS GONE... Account Suspended

http://cbi.3eyon-host.net/cgi-sys/suspendedpage.cgi

Iobey777:  WOW!!! Thanks Delta!! IMO, just another step closer to seeing the RI!  ?? Weren't we told that this would happen just before they showed the new rate? Like..when things were COMPLETED?

KBC123:  Wow! No need to have the other site if they are going to merge the two! How exciting!   Thanks Delta!

Rich4hyip:  looks like they dont need that page anymore,two merged into one.so close how exciting it is.

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Din961:  World Bank: 5 Threats to the Global Economy

09/6/2018 12:00 am

Warnings {Global Growth Prospects}

Capitals / follow-up morning

The World Bank has warned of the current state of the global economy, with risks threatening the end of the international recovery in the coming period.The World Bank, in its Global Growth Prospects, said the risks to the global economy were diverse, including inflation and uncertainty about monetary policy, as well as trade disputes.

The World Bank predicted a slowdown in global economic growth over the next two years, as the impact of stimulus in the United States slowed, and the process of raising interest rates in major economies began.

Inflation risks

Markets now expect low inflation prospects in developed economies in the period following the failure of consumer prices to target central banks, reflecting the view that globalization and technological changes may keep inflation low.

However, there are a number of factors that may lead to a higher rate of inflation than expected during the coming period.

The first factor is that the current period of low unemployment will enhance the bargaining power of workers, which could lead to faster wage growth.

But given unemployment rates and wage growth in developed economies during the previous economic cycle, they were much higher. If this is not matched by a similar increase in productivity growth, the faster than expected recovery of wages could lead to an increase in current and future inflation expectations.

The second factor is that monetary stimulus in the United States will provide an increase in growth in an economy that is already moving towards full employment, threatening to accelerate demand beyond production capacity.

The third factor is the global production gaps, which are expected to disappear this year. The production gap is an economic measure that means the difference between the actual growth of an economy and its potential performance or the maximum production capacity of the economy.

Rebalancing inflation risks at the moment could contribute to a sudden rise in the investment premium from its current reduced levels temporarily, which could eventually increase long-term bond yields and trigger major volatility in US and global bond markets.
Monetary policy

The change in market expectations on interest rates and central bank budget policies could lead to an escalation of financial tension, with many factors interfering in making financial markets immune to revaluation.

In the US, interest rates are still below normal, and market and monetary policy expectations for their outlook are still far apart.

Strong foreign demand for US bonds also plays a key role in putting pressure on the US interest rate over the long term, partly offsetting the impact of accelerating US interest rates.

The rising demand for bonds is now the result of foreign investors in the private sector.

These flows have encouraged continued monetary policy in the Eurozone and Japan, and the growing gap between US and counterparty bond yields in those regions.

Monetary policy forecasts in developed economies could lead to sudden changes in investment portfolios and faster than expected increase in global interest rates
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Asset prices

Has encouraged a long period of low-risk interest rates in financial markets and rising asset prices that make global financial markets more vulnerable to sudden adjustments and volatility. Indeed, the average share price relative to profit at a historic level in the United States, while the differences between corporate bond yields in developed economies and emerging markets remains the lowest average before the global financial crisis.

A correction in asset prices could weaken prospects for growth by tightening financial conditions, declining levels of confidence and negative effects on wealth.

Emerging Markets

Emerging markets are still vulnerable to sudden market volatility, tightening global financial conditions that could be further inflated by the US dollar, and the effects of informal exchange rate developments.

Although credit growth has slowed in most countries, the weakness of the corporate sector remains evident, and public and private debt levels remain above pre-crisis levels.

As for the high borrowing costs, they could lead to a significant increase in servicing the debt burden, which has been reduced in recent years due to the low interest rate.

On the other hand, increased debt service costs may impair investment and lower growth over the medium term.

Fluctuations in capital inflows and a sharp devaluation may increase the risk of debt defaults and raise fears of financial stability between economies with external vulnerabilities.

Dollar-denominated debt remains high in many emerging economies and saw an increase in 2017 amid favorable borrowing conditions.

Business Dispute

The World Bank believes that the risks of escalating trade barriers have intensified dramatically amid the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and business partners.

The World Bank warned that increasing trade tariffs worldwide would have adverse consequences for trade

And global activity.

A tariff escalation to the global limit could reduce global trade flows by 9 percent, similar to the decline during the global financial crisis.

The impact of increased trade protectionism in emerging economies may appear to be in their advanced counterparts, and high-protected sectors such as agriculture and food are among the most vulnerable.

The bank warned that taking a trade economic measure between the United States and China could lead to losses for economists.

The fundamental threat to trade policies in key economies to investment, financial markets and global activity may also be negatively affected.    link
Don961:  China Development Bank loans exceed $ 100 billion
09/6/2018 12:00 am

Beijing

The China Development Bank has lent more than 100 billion US dollars to Russia and other SCO member countries.

The balance of loans in the SCO member countries stood at 41.34 billion US dollars and 16.37 billion yuan (about 2.56 billion US dollars ), according to data from the bank, a leading political bank in the country .

By the end of 2017, the bank had lent a total of 7.69 billion US dollars and 3.34 billion yuan to banks in member countries.

While outstanding loans amounted to 2.05 billion US dollars and 3.3 billion yuan.

The SCO member states accounted for more than 60 percent of Eurasian territory and nearly 50 percent of the world's total population, as well as more than 20 percent of the world's total.

The organization includes eight members - China, Russia, India, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan - as well as four observer countries and six dialogue partners.   link

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