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Friday, May 18, 2018

MNT GOAT UPDATE, 18 MAY

May 18, 2018 Mnt Goat News Brief 

Hi Everyone,

I bring you much news today.   

The results of my last Newsletter survey tells me that many still don’t understand the election process in Iraq. So I wanted to clarify it to you today and I hope you now can understand how it is applying to this last election. 

So we all know that Al-Abadi did lose the popular votes, thus he did lose the election, however……(this is the point this 7% of my surveyed readers do not get)

Could Al-Abadi be the next PM even though he lost the popular election? 

Everyone should know by now that even though a candidate runs for office and does not win the overall popular vote, he/she can still possibly be nominated as the candidate for the office and, if ratified by parliament, take the duty of forming the next government of Iraq, thus the prime minister position.  

How does this work? 

You must keep in mind the Iraqi system of elections is similar but not the same as in the USA. 

Unlike the US electoral process, the parliamentary process is different in that what happens is first they run the popular election. The winning party then gets to bring forward a candidate for the office of prime minister. But this is a candidate and does not necessarily have to match who was running for the party. Get it? 

But shouldn’t the candidate that campaigned and won the popular vote alsp be the nominee since he/she won? 

Yes and No- Yes -since if this person desires (and is qualified) to be prime minister he/she can simply put themselves forward as the party’s candidate. No - since the popular voting process is actually voting for a “movement” or the “promises” of the party, list or coalition, the person who campaigns is campaigning for the implementation of these policies. So Yes, it can also be that he wants to be the nominee to fulfill these promises and bring them about or he/she can pick someone else who will fulfill these promises.  

So, in this election process of 2018, we see that Al-Sadr does not want to be prime minister since he is a cleric but wanted to be able to select someone who will fulfill the “Sadr Movement’s” party policies. So, who will he select?  That is the million dollar question. 

So let us try to figure this all out. 

We witnessed Al-Sadr running the campaign and winning but with no desire to actually be the prime minister. Did he really want to win or just take votes away from the other candidates and then later combine them with al-Abadi anyhow. But since his movement won the actual popular vote al-Sadr (or I should say his movement party) get to chose the nominee. But I have to tell you al-Sadr really didn’t expect to win and planned on supporting al-Abadi (who he thought would win). And so Al-Sadr winning changes everything. Now he gets to put real pressure on al-Abadi and set some terms if Al-Abadi wants the nomination. 

But what about all these other politicians who also ran and received substantial votes? 

These parties will combine their popular votes over to another candidate or party for favors or the implementation of some of their future goals. When all this “horse-trading” is over they will choose a candidate MOST likely to implement their policies in the next term. 

Can they overthrow the popular vote? 

NO, even if enough of the other parties combined their votes against the popular vote party they can not overthrow the winner of the election. But this is not the time to overthrow. 

The time is during the election process they can strategically take votes away from some candidate or party. These are then dead votes, but only if they do not win. But if a party with their ideals does win, then like parties  gang up and combine votes but only to the party that has common goals. Get it? Why would you give your votes away to another party that does not favor your goals anyhow? Get it? 

Hope this explanation helps everyone! 

You should all now see how Al-Abadi can be nominated and probably will be the nominee submitted to parliament by the “Sadr Movement”. However, having said this, it is very premature and irresponsible to be telling everyone on intel conference calls that al-Abadi has already been nominated. There is no proof of this. All the news states Al-Sadr has to still decide however he is open to it. This is what he really said. 

Let’s just watch it all play out and see if there are any surprises. 

More news….

“Baghdad News – 
A spokesman for the Sadrist movement, 
Ali Douai will be the candidate the post of for Prime Minister. “

What? Is this a rumor  and has been verified? No, it is just a rumor. 

Then in the same day out pops this next article: 

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region – The Sadr movement will nominate current Maysan governor for the post of prime minister to head up what they want to be a technocrat government that will eliminate those tainted with accusations of corruption, the spokesperson told Rudaw.

(Mnt Goat – Hey wait a second so who is the nominiee, Al- Abadi, Maysan or Ali Douai ? Somewhere the news media is printing fake news. I think this is all just fake news to take attention away for Al-Abadi. But let’s see how it all plays out. I onkly presented it because it was interesting trivia….lol…lol..lol..) 

More news….

French report: Election results will change after the addition of 1.7 million votes for the special ballot and voters abroad.

Baghdad today  – The results of the Iraqi elections may change suddenly for some parties after the addition of the votes of the special and external voters, which are about 1.7 million votes.

The report said that “the Iraqis have formed a political surprise by the receipt of lists against the current political structure, to advance the legislative elections,” according to partial results showed, a big difference from the Prime Minister Haider Abadi, which has the support of a large international, “These official partial results, which appeared on Sunday night, do not include the vote of security forces, expatriates and displaced people, who can change the data after counting their votes.

(Mnt Goat – As if we weren’t confused enough, then out pops this article about more votes still to be counted. Can you see now why it is taking so long to get the final results? We were supposed to get the results yesterday and didn’t. Wait – they will tell us in an upcoming news article about the delay and give us another date.)

More news….

“The final results were supposed to be announced on Thursday May 17th . I do not yet have these results and I don’t believe they have been announced yet. The Electoral Commission: Final results will be announced at 10 pm Friday. 

I strongly encourage everyone reading this Newsletter today to read through all the articles below if you really want to ongoing election saga and to get a real, factual sense of what is really happening with the elections. It is dynamic and it is moving quickly. 

Why trust one of these irresponsible Guru idiots who always have to taint the news with their own “opinions”, “conspiracy theories” or “secret intel”. Instead simply read the FACTS for yourself. Wow! That was easy …. lol … lol ... lol …

Their words not mine…..No Rumors, No Hype, No Opinions ,,,,,
                                             Just the FACTS! 

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Formal Articles are below. Due to FACEBOOK limitations they do not print my RED colored fonts or italics, so my comments are in brackets (  ) throughout the articles. I will preface my comments with “Mnt Goat” so you know I am jumping in with observations. Also, I separated the articles with asterisks. 
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Articles Begin

CBI TO STOP DEALING WITH THE ISLAMIC BANK OF IRAQ

(Baghdad: Al-Furat News) 

The Central Bank of Iraq decided to stop dealing with the Islamic Bank of Iraq in Iraq after accusing him of financing terrorism by the US Treasury Department.

A document issued by the Central Bank to all authorized banks and financial transfer companies and companies to mediate the sale and spread of foreign currencies to stop dealing with the Bank of the Islamic country.

“In view of the inclusion of AlBilad Islamic Bank and its Chairman (Aras Habib Mohammad) on the {OFAC} list and on the basis of the international agreements signed by the Iraqi side, and in order to preserve the integrity of the financial and banking system in Iraq, The following precautionary measures:

First: To stop the bank from entering into the window of sale and purchase of foreign currency

(Mnt Goat – did I not say they were using this stolen money from the currency auctions to fund terrorism? So here it is. )

Second: To reserve all the accounts of the bank and the accounts of the Chairman of the Board of Directors referred to above and to notify us of these deposits

Third: the reservation on the circulation of shares of the bank and shares registered in the name of the Chairman of the Board.

On Tuesday, the US Treasury Department listed Arsab Habib’s Islamic Bank of Iraq as a terrorist group.

Habib, the secretary-general of the National Congress Party and a candidate for the victory coalition led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abbadi, said he had conclusive evidence refuting the US Treasury’s “fabrications.”

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AL-SADR, ON WEDNESDAY, THAT HIS DOOR IS OPEN TO ALL

Sumer News: Baghdad .

The leader of the Sadrist movement Moqtada al-Sadr, on Wednesday, that his door is open to all, calling on the heads of blocs to meet and dialogue.

"In spite of our differences, let's look for our participants and without compromising our constants, so let's talk, so I call on the leaders of the new alliances to meet," Sadr said in a tweet on his official Twitter Web site.

"MY DOOR IS OPEN AND MY HANDS ARE STRETCHED OUT TO BUILD OUR IRAQ AND FORM A GOVERNMENT OF HONEST AND PATRIARCHAL TECHNOCRATS," he said.

He described Sadr, Wednesday, the intervention of the US envoy in the Iraqi issue as "ugly".

Sadr said, according to a document to his office, in response to a query from one of his supporters, regarding the presence of the US envoy inside Iraq to determine the course of the political process for the next phase before the announcement of the results of the elections, "It is not surprising his presence in Iraq .. But the ugly is his interference in Iraqi affairs, and if it continues to become ugly in Iraq. "

The parliamentary elections took place on 12 May 2018 in Baghdad and the provinces amid tight security.

The Electoral Commission announced hours later, that the participation rate reached 44% with the participation of more than 10 million people out of the 24 million eligible to participate in the elections.

The preliminary results came out of the list of others supported by Muqtada al-Sadr first at the level of the provinces followed by the Fatah alliance supported by Hadi al-Amiri and then the victory coalition led by Haider Abadi.

The political and media circles were preoccupied with monitoring the low turnout of polling stations in different Iraqi cities, where the participation rate reached 44% compared to the 2014 elections which reached 60%.

He explained the low participation rates with many problems in the voting procedures, and the failure of electronic auditing, in addition to the general frustration of the repetition of the traditional political forces themselves.

The US State Department congratulated Iraqis on holding parliamentary elections, calling for a "comprehensive" government that meets the needs of all Iraqis.

According to the map of political positions announced, most of the political parties that fought the elections will work to form alliances to form the next government.

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AFTER WILD IRAQI VOTE, CLERIC BROACHES ALLIANCE WITH U.S.-BACKED PRIME MINISTER ABADI

By Isabel Coles and Ali Nabhan
May 15, 2018  

ERBIL, Iraq—Populist cleric Moqtada al-Sadr signaled he is willing to form coalition with Iraq’s U.S.-backed prime minister that could sooth the American concerns following the country’s surprising national parliamentary elections.

Mr. Sadr’s alliance of Shiite Islamists and communists unexpectedly captured the most parliamentary seats over the weekend, voting counts in the provinces of Kirkuk and Dohuk confirmed Tuesday evening. The cleric’s victory upended both American and Iranian calculations, as U.S.-aligned Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi and Iran-friendly candidates lagged behind Mr. Sadr’s coalition.

Mr. Sadr, a Shiite cleric whose militias fought the U.S. after its 2003 invasion of Iraq and participated in atrocities against Sunni Muslims, is a sharp critic of both U.S. and Iranian influence in Iraq. He has opposed the presence of U.S. troops in the country, which Washington sees as a vital part of its security alliance with Baghdad, while he has opposed Iraqis going to Syria to fight in support of Iran’s ally, President Bashar al-Assad.

His strong showing set off a furious scramble among Iraq’s unwieldy set of political parties to create a governing coalition.

Mr. Sadr, who isn’t believed to be seeking the premiership, said on Twitter that he was open to an alliance with Mr. Abadi’s coalition, among others, a move that could give the prime minister a second term.

Mr. Abadi’s coalition was widely expected to win a plurality but placed third. He bet his candidacy on his victory over Islamic State following a brutal three-year war, during which he built a trusted relationship with Washington based on countering terrorism.

Mr. Sadr mobilized his base with vows to do away with corruption and appoint technocrats to the cabinet, ending a system whereby Iraq’s influential sectarian and ethnic political parties divvy up ministries and government offices among themselves. Mr. Sadr’s spokesman, Salah al-Obaidi, said that the program aligned Mr. Sadr with Mr. Abadi’s “Victory” coalition. Mr. Abadi welcomed those comments in his weekly press conference on Tuesday.

For the U.S., which was counting on Mr. Abadi to lead Iraq, the rise of Mr. Sadr is a rude awakening. Even if Mr. Abadi survives as prime minister, his mandate will be severely weakened.
“To the extent that the Trump administration was paying any attention to Iraq, it was betting big on Abadi,” said Kenneth Pollack, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, where he works on Middle Eastern political-military affairs. “There is a lot of trepidation and hand-wringing here in D.C.”

Meanwhile, Iran was maneuvering to retain its influence among Iraqi decision makers, as it confronted the prospect of Mr. Sadr wielding power.
Iranian envoys worked to bring together all Shiite parties excluding Mr. Sadr’s the day after the election, in a bid to choose the next prime minister, but that effort failed on Monday, according to people with knowledge of the talks.

Since Iraq began holding elections in 2003, Iran, a Shiite theocracy, has exerted its influence by bringing together Shiite parties. Iran wants Iraq to be a weak ally so that it can preserve its economic and political sway there and in the wider region, say lawmakers and analysts.
The core of the Iran-backed bloc is the Fateh alliance representing Shiite militias with close ties to Iran, which came second after Mr. Sadr’s, and the State of Law Coalition, headed by former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki. Saad al-Motallabi, a member of the State of Law coalition, denied Iran was playing a role.

Mr. Sadr indicated this week he isn’t interested in forming a coalition with the factions closest to Iran.
“We will not be part of a sectarian alliance,” Mr. Obaidi said.

Iraq’s electoral commission on Tuesday said a final vote count including parliamentary seat allocations would be released “in the coming few days,” setting up a weeklong run-up to a parliamentary session in which the largest bloc will nominate a prime minister.
Whatever government takes shape over the coming weeks will face a daunting list of challenges, including rebuilding areas devastated by the war and preventing the resurgence of Islamic State. Iraq needs more than $80 billion to fix the damage done by the extremist group, the World Bank says, but is struggling to attract foreign investment.

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NEWSPAPER REVEALS THE FINDINGS OF THE INQUIRY COMMITTEE ON THE ELECTIONS

In the policy of  May 16, 2018 comments on the newspaper reveal the findings of the inquiry committee on the closed election 

Baghdad / SNG

A Qatari newspaper revealed on Wednesday the findings of the inquiry committee on the elections, NOTING THAT THE DELAY IN ANNOUNCING THE FINAL OFFICIAL RESULTS OF THE IRAQI ELECTIONS IS DUE TO STUDY UNHCR CAN RE-PROCESS THE COUNTING AND SORTING MANUALLY.

"A commission of inquiry from the Commission," an Iraqi official was quoted by Al-Arabi al-Qadid newspaper as sayingThe Supreme Judicial Council, has reached a real manipulation of the results of the elections in the provinces Kirkuk, Anbar, Salah al-Din, Ninewa, Babylon and SulaymaniyahErbil, in favor of candidates and parties. " 

He added that "THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE FINAL RESULTS OF THE OFFICIAL IRAQI ELECTIONS, DUE TO THE STUDY OF THE COMMISSION TO THE POSSIBILITY OF MANUALLY RECOUNTING THE NUMBER OF POLLING STATIONS IN THOSE PROVINCES, AFTER ITS OFFICIAL DECISION, MONDAY, THE RE-COUNTING AND SORTING MANUALLY IN KIRKUK ONLY."

The results of the Iraqi parliamentary elections were due to be announced on Monday evening, 48 hours after the polls closed, and the electronic counting and counting of the votes had been completed, according to the electoral commission.

The results showed the emergence of the alliance "Asron" led by Moqtada al-Sadr, and then alliance, "Fatah", which represents the popular rally, and then the victory alliance led by Prime Minister Haider Abadi.

According to the Iraqi official himself, it is "LIKELY TO BE ARRESTED AT LEAST 200 EMPLOYEES IN THE ELECTORAL COMMISSION, TO PROVE THEIR INVOLVEMENT IN LEGAL IRREGULARITIES, AND RIGGING THE RESULTS IN POLLING STATIONS, A NUMBER OF THE PROVINCES OF THE COUNTRY."

He stressed that "the majority of the fraud, involving Islamic and Kurdish parties, and contributed to those illegal operations, the rise of candidates and the exclusion of others."

(Mnt Goat – so here we go again……everything is usual in Iraq. A mess once again. How long will it take to clear all this up. They have 15 days according to the constitution. Remember we need the Judiciary to ratify the election results. So this is what they are now attempting to do but they are finding tampering and corruption)

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A NATIONAL LEADER CALLS ON UNHCR TO SPEED UP THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE FINAL RESULTS

In the policy of  May 16, 2018

Comments on a leader in the National Coalition calls for the Commission to speed up the announcement of final results closed 6 visits

Baghdad / SNG
Student leader of the National Coalition Ziad al-Janabi, Wednesday, the Independent Electoral Commission to accelerate the announcement of the final results of the parliamentary elections held this weekend.

"The citizens are eagerly waiting for the results to be announced," Janabi said in a press interview, warning of "the possibility of manipulation of votes."

Al-Janabi called on the Commission to speed up the announcement of the final results of each candidate. It is noteworthy that the candidate for the National Coalition Ziad al-Janabi got the first rank on the list in Baghdad.

(Mnt Goat – What’s the point of bringing this article to you today? It shows us once again the final results of the elections are NOT yet determined. Remember it’s not over until the Judiciary confirms the results.)

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5/17/2018 

Within two days .. the final announcement of the election results
Baghdad / Sabah / Shaima Rashid.

The Electoral Commission for the elections that the FINAL RESULTS OF THE LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS WILL BE ANNOUNCED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS (by May 19th ), pointing out that there is NO JUSTIFICATION SO FAR TO RESORT TO MANUAL COUNTING AND COUNTING, while noting that the figures shown on the number of seats entities is not accurate and not related to UNHCR As shown by figures in this regard.

THIS CAME AT A TIME WHEN BLOCS AND POLITICAL PARTIES JOINED THE DEMAND OF PRIME MINISTER HAIDER AL-ABADI TO CONDUCT THE MANUAL COUNTING OF SOME BALLOT BOXES. While a number of deputies called for an emergency session of the parliament to discuss the repercussions of the elections, a legal expert noted that this meeting could only be held if this is required in accordance with the Constitution.

(Mnt Goat – Why do the losers always want a recount? So now we know that any pre-arrangement made with Al-Sadr for the election outcome (as alleged) is not true. This is proof of it.)

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Corruption-tainted leaders have no place in new gov’t: Sadr spokesperson

ERBIL, Kurdistan Region – The Sadr movement will nominate current Maysan governor for the post of prime minister to head up what they want to be a technocrat government that will eliminate those tainted with accusations of corruption, the spokesperson told Rudaw.

Spokesperson Salah al-Obeidi told Rudaw they will not allow figures and leaders involved in corruption to be part of the new team that will lead the country.

Cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, who heads the movement, has led demands for an end to corruption in Baghdad. His followers have regularly held large anti-government protests in Baghdad.

Articles End

Their words not mine…..No Rumors, No Hype, No Opinions ,,,,,
                                             Just the FACTS! 

Disclaimer: All information in this newsletter is not intended for investment decisions / purposes. Mnt Goat is not a financial analyst, planner, banker, attorney or associated in any role with giving out professional investment advice. 

In ending I want everyone to know your constant prayers in the fight against evil (ISIS) in Iraq have worked. God has guided these young men and women on the battle field. Let us all now know that there is a new battle now to fight. A battle to save our homelands from the corrupt politicians who are bent on taking what they want from our current wealth and from future generations without our permission. We must keep praying for the end to the rapid corruption in Iraq and in the United States. We must pray for our leaders when they are being guided by the Holy Spirit. We must stand by them and let them know we are still there to support them, even after the election is over. I have composed a prayer maybe we can all pray today in our own way and until the revaluation of the Iraq dinar occurs. 

PRAYER

“For the Iraqi Prime Minister and the President of the United States, that all their cabinet members, and deputies may be anointed by the Holy Spirit to do God’s will and bring the free democracies of the Republic of Iraq and the United States of America to the much-deserved prosperity and abundance thru justice and freedom from oppression and corruption. That they may be a shining example for the rest of the middle east and to rest of the world to follow. 

In the name of Jesus Christ our King and Savior, Amen”

Auf Wiedersehen 
Much love to ya all, 
Mnt Goat

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